This report is entitled, The Arab Gulf States and Iran: Military Spending, Modernization, and the Shifting Military Balance and is available on the CSIS web site in PDF version at, and in PowerPoint version at. The Burke Chair at CSIS is issuing a new version of a report that uses a wide range of tables, graphs, and maps to examine the military balance between the Arab Gulf states and Iran. Military Modernization, and Changes in the Balance and Nature of Gulf Forces There have already been far too many such wars in the Middle East, and the current arms race has far too long and dangerous a history to ignore.Įxamining the Impact of Iranian and Arab Gulf Military Spending, Arms Transfers. The history of war is as much the history on unintended conflicts and escalation as of deliberate attacks. is imposing steadily more serious economic sanctions on Iran. No one can safely dismiss such rhetoric as political posturing due to the fact the U.S. WE ARE NO LONGER A COUNTRY THAT WILL STAND FOR YOUR DEMENTED WORDS OF VIOLENCE & DEATH. “NEVER, EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN OR YOU WILL SUFFER CONSEQUENCES THE LIKES OF WHICH FEW THROUGHOUT HISTORY HAVE EVER SUFFERED BEFORE. You are not in a position to incite the Iranian nation against Iran’s security and interests.” The next morning, President Trump replied with a Tweet in full capitals stating that, America should know that peace with Iran is the mother of all peace, and war with Iran is the mother of all wars. Trump, don’t play with the lion’s tail, this would only lead to regret. On July 22 nd, Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani warned the U.S. The Growing Risk from a Regional Arms Race withdrawal from the JCPOA nuclear agreement, the growing tensions between the Arab Gulf states, the boycott of Qatar, and the unstable outcome of the fight against ISIS, and the Syrian civil war all contribute to an increasingly fragile and dangerous security environment. The risks this arms race presents in terms of a future conflict have not diminished with time, and many elements of the regional arms race have accelerated sharply in recent years.Ĭlashes with Iran in the Gulf, struggles for influence in Iraq and Syria, and the war in Yemen all act as warnings that new rounds of conflict are possible. The military balance between Iran, its Arab neighbors, and the United States has been a critical military issue in the Middle East since at least the rise of Nasser in the 1950s.
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